UCF heads into this weekend’s matchup against Kansas State with a perfect 3-0 record, riding high on the confidence from their dominant win over North Carolina. The Knights’ defense has been a force to be reckoned with, not allowing a single touchdown in the first half and only giving up an average of 9 points per game. Their run defense has been particularly impressive, shutting down opposing ground attacks.
On the other hand, Kansas State has struggled this season, starting off with a disappointing 1-3 record. This is their worst start since 1989 when they went 1-10. The Wildcats’ offensive line has been unable to create much push, resulting in a lack of success in the running game. After a bye week, they are hoping to turn things around against UCF.
But for the Knights, this game holds extra meaning. They are playing for their offensive line coach, Shawn Clark, who passed away unexpectedly earlier this week. His sudden death has created a sense of motivation and determination within the team to win this game in his honor.
UCF writer Matt Murschel predicts a close game, with the Knights ultimately coming out on top with a score of 24-21. Sports columnist Mike Bianchi shares a similar sentiment, predicting a win for UCF with a final score of 35-28. He believes that this game holds more significance for the Knights, who will be playing with heart and passion in memory of their coach. Even college football writer Adam Lichtenstein, who acknowledges the home-field advantage for Kansas State, still predicts a win for UCF with a score of 28-21. He notes the Wildcats’ lackluster performance this season and believes the undefeated Knights have what it takes to secure a conference road win.
Betting Odds & Market Context
As of now, the betting market has Kansas State as a 6-point favorite (–6) against UCF. FOX Sports+2BetMGM+2
The over/under (total points projected) is set at 49.5 points. FOX Sports+2Odds Shark+2
On the moneyline, the Wildcats are generally priced around –225, while UCF is being offered around +185. Bleacher Nation+2Odds Shark+2
Here is how that compares to your writers’ predictions:
| Prediction / Market | Point Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market | K-State –6 | K-State –225 / UCF +185 | 49.5 | Indicates market expects a moderately close game |
| Murschel | — (predicts 24–21) | — | — | He views it as a tight, low-scoring affair |
| Bianchi | — (predicts 35–28) | — | — | A slightly higher total game |
| Lichtenstein | — (predicts 28–21) | — | — | Also sees a moderate scoring outcome |
